AMZN Bear Put Spread Backtest: Daily Options Results | AI Velocity

Daily Bear Put Spread AMZN

Total P&L
$-340
Jan 1 → 2026-10-23
Win Rate
40.5%
15 wins / 22 losses
Total Trades
37
Mon–Fri daily entries
Potential Trading Days
204
Days a trade could occur
Avg P&L / Day
$-2
Across 204 trading days
Avg Annual Profit
$-420
Avg daily P&L × 252
Capital Required
$1,295
Avg max loss / trade
Avg Annual Return
-32.4%
Annual profit / avg capital
Profit Factor
0.96
Gross wins / gross losses
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22
Daily × √252 annualised
Max Drawdown
$3,880
Peak-to-trough equity
Payoff Ratio
1.41x
Avg win / avg loss

📈 Equity Curve

⚙️ Strategy Configuration

Ticker
AMZN
Contracts
10
Structure
Bear Put
Long Put
0.98×P
Short Put
0.95×P
Strike Round
$5
Entry Days
Mon–Fri
Entry Time
9:40 ET
Exit Time
15:45 ET
Expiry
Next Friday
Profit Target
+90%
Stop Loss
-80%

Trade Filters

FilterStatus
None — all days traded
Avg net debit paid (traded days)$1.2949 per share
Avg spread width (traded days)$7.57

Strike Construction

LegStrikeActionRole
Long Putround(price × 0.98 / 5) × 5BuySlightly OTM put — directional exposure, max profit if AMZN falls
Short Putround(price × 0.95 / 5) × 5SellFurther OTM put — caps max profit, reduces cost

P&L Mechanics

Net debit at open (9:40 ET)Max loss = debit × 100 × 10 (if AMZN stays above long put)
AMZN falls to/below short putMax profit = (width − debit) × 100 × 10
Avg net debit paid$1.2949 per share
Auto-exit profit targetClose if P&L ≥ +90% of max profit
Auto-exit stop lossClose if P&L ≤ −80% of max loss (debit paid)

🚦 Exit Breakdown

Scheduled (15:45 ET)

35

Profit Target +90%

0

Stop Loss −80%

2

Total Trades

37

📊 Win / Loss Analysis

Win Rate Breakdown

Winners (15)40.5%
40.5%
Losers (22)59.5%
59.5%

P&L Breakdown

Average winner+$524
Average loser$-373
Best trade+$1,940 (2026-09-15)
Worst trade$-1,500 (2026-02-06)
Total gross wins+$7,860
Total gross losses$-8,200

⚠️ Risk Assessment

Max Drawdown

$3,880

Worst Single Loss

$-1,500

Avg Max Loss / Trade

$1,295

Profit Factor

0.96

Sharpe (Annualised)

-0.22

Payoff Ratio

1.41x

💡 Key Insights

❌

Net Loss Period

Total P&L of $-340 over 37 trades. AMZN's bullish trend meant most puts expired worthless, eroding the net debit paid.

⚠️

Auto-Exit Applied at Exit Bar Only

The live script monitors positions every 5 minutes and can exit intraday. This backtest applies +90%/−80% thresholds at the 15:45 ET bar close only.

⚠️

Debit Strategy — Capital at Risk Upfront

Unlike credit spreads, the full debit is at risk immediately. The trade only profits if AMZN falls enough to overcome the debit paid. Win rate is typically lower than break-even frequency.

📋 Full Trade Log is not displayed on mobile devices to prevent page freezing. View this report on a desktop browser to see all 37 trades.

📋 Full Trade Log (37 trades)

DateDayExpiryAMZN Open Buy KSell KWidth Debit OpenDebit Close P&LCum P&LExit
2026-01-21 Wednesday 2026-01-23 $230.17 225 220 5 $0.5600 $0.3200 $-240 $-240 SCHED
2026-02-04 Wednesday 2026-02-06 $237.86 235 225 10 $4.0500 $4.4100 +$360 +$120 SCHED
2026-02-05 Thursday 2026-02-06 $224.72 220 215 5 $2.0500 $2.2400 +$190 +$310 SCHED
2026-02-06 Friday 2026-02-13 $202.33 200 190 10 $2.4300 $0.9300 $-1,500 $-1,190 SCHED
2026-02-11 Wednesday 2026-02-13 $206.03 200 195 5 $0.3800 $0.4800 +$100 $-1,090 SCHED
2026-02-12 Thursday 2026-02-13 $203.13 200 195 5 $0.5900 $1.8600 +$1,270 +$180 SCHED
2026-02-13 Friday 2026-02-20 $198.11 195 190 5 $1.2800 $1.1200 $-160 +$20 SCHED
2026-03-09 Monday 2026-03-13 $209.59 205 200 5 $1.0100 $0.5500 $-460 $-440 SCHED
2026-03-13 Friday 2026-03-20 $208.84 205 200 5 $1.2100 $1.3100 +$100 $-340 SCHED
2026-03-19 Thursday 2026-03-20 $206.96 205 195 10 $1.2700 $0.4900 $-780 $-1,120 SCHED
2026-03-24 Tuesday 2026-03-27 $206.97 205 195 10 $1.9000 $1.6700 $-230 $-1,350 SCHED
2026-03-26 Thursday 2026-03-27 $207.81 205 195 10 $0.8000 $0.6000 $-200 $-1,550 SCHED
2026-03-27 Friday 2026-04-10 $203.69 200 195 5 $1.9000 $2.0000 +$100 $-1,450 SCHED
2026-04-02 Thursday 2026-04-10 $205.39 200 195 5 $1.0800 $0.5800 $-500 $-1,950 SCHED
2026-05-12 Tuesday 2026-05-15 $264.93 260 250 10 $1.3000 $0.9200 $-380 $-2,330 SCHED
2026-05-15 Friday 2026-05-22 $261.24 255 250 5 $1.1500 $0.6600 $-490 $-2,820 SCHED
2026-05-19 Tuesday 2026-05-22 $260.27 255 245 10 $1.3600 $1.3400 $-20 $-2,840 SCHED
2026-06-01 Monday 2026-06-05 $263.13 260 250 10 $2.0600 $2.2000 +$140 $-2,700 SCHED
2026-06-02 Tuesday 2026-06-05 $254.80 250 240 10 $1.5200 $0.6500 $-870 $-3,570 SCHED
2026-06-10 Wednesday 2026-06-12 $242.59 240 230 10 $1.7800 $3.1400 +$1,360 $-2,210 SCHED
2026-06-11 Thursday 2026-06-12 $236.50 230 225 5 $0.3200 $0.0500 $-270 $-2,480 ✗ SL80
2026-06-17 Wednesday 2026-06-26 $242.85 240 230 10 $2.4900 $4.0400 +$1,550 $-930 SCHED
2026-06-18 Thursday 2026-06-26 $236.69 230 225 5 $0.1700 $0.3000 +$130 $-800 SCHED
2026-06-25 Thursday 2026-06-26 $227.62 225 215 10 $1.4200 $0.9100 $-510 $-1,310 SCHED
2026-07-22 Wednesday 2026-07-24 $244.56 240 230 10 $1.1900 $1.1100 $-80 $-1,390 SCHED
2026-07-28 Tuesday 2026-07-31 $230.81 225 220 5 $1.7000 $1.7500 +$50 $-1,340 SCHED
2026-08-14 Friday 2026-08-21 $265.10 260 250 10 $1.5500 $1.7800 +$230 $-1,110 SCHED
2026-08-18 Tuesday 2026-08-21 $259.80 255 245 10 $1.0600 $0.9400 $-120 $-1,230 SCHED
2026-08-21 Friday 2026-08-28 $257.33 250 245 5 $0.7800 $0.5300 $-250 $-1,480 SCHED
2026-08-26 Wednesday 2026-08-28 $259.50 255 245 10 $1.0400 $0.5700 $-470 $-1,950 SCHED
2026-09-01 Tuesday 2026-09-04 $254.77 250 240 10 $1.1100 $1.0200 $-90 $-2,040 SCHED
2026-09-08 Tuesday 2026-09-11 $256.90 250 245 5 $0.5900 $0.5500 $-40 $-2,080 SCHED
2026-09-15 Tuesday 2026-09-18 $252.68 250 240 10 $1.6600 $3.6000 +$1,940 $-140 SCHED
2026-09-16 Wednesday 2026-09-18 $247.02 240 235 5 $0.4200 $0.5200 +$100 $-40 SCHED
2026-09-23 Wednesday 2026-09-25 $251.40 245 240 5 $0.3600 $0.6000 +$240 +$200 SCHED
2026-10-15 Thursday 2026-10-16 $249.98 245 235 10 $0.5500 $0.0400 $-510 $-310 ✗ SL80
2026-10-23 Friday 2026-10-30 $247.05 240 235 5 $1.8200 $1.7900 $-30 $-340 SCHED