META Daily Iron Butterfly Backtest | AI Velocity

Daily Iron Butterfly META

Total P&L
$-13,517
Jan 1 → 2026-07-22
Win Rate
60.0%
18 wins / 12 losses
Total Trades
30
Mon–Fri daily entries
Potential Trading Days
138
Days a trade could occur
Avg P&L / Day
$-98
Across 138 trading days
Avg Annual Profit
$-24,683
Avg daily P&L × 252
Capital Required
$24,831
Avg max loss / trade
Avg Annual Return
-99.4%
Annual profit / avg capital
Profit Factor
0.64
Gross wins / gross losses
Sharpe Ratio
-1.68
Daily × √252 annualised
Max Drawdown
$25,305
Peak-to-trough equity
Payoff Ratio
0.43x
Avg win / avg loss

📈 Equity Curve

⚙️ Strategy Configuration

Ticker
META
Contracts
7
Structure
Iron Butterfly
Wing Width
±$55
Entry Days
Mon–Fri
Entry Time
9:40 ET
Exit Time
14:20 ET
Expiry
Next Friday
Profit Target
+90%
Stop Loss
-80%

Trade Filters

FilterStatus
None — all days traded
Avg credit ratio (traded days)0.355 (19.53/55)
Avg straddle % of META (traded days)3.391%

Strike Construction

LegStrikeActionRole
Long PutATM − $55BuyOuter put wing — defines max loss on downside
Short PutATMSellATM short — max profit zone (butterfly body)
Short CallATMSellATM short — max profit zone (butterfly body)
Long CallATM + $55BuyOuter call wing — defines max loss on upside

P&L Mechanics

Net credit at open (9:40 ET)Max profit = credit × 100 × 40 (at expiry if QQQ = ATM)
QQQ moves > $10 from ATMMax loss = ($55 − credit) × 100 × 7
Avg net credit collected$19.5277 per share
Auto-exit profit targetClose if P&L ≥ +90% of max profit
Auto-exit stop lossClose if P&L ≤ −80% of max profit

🚦 Exit Breakdown

Scheduled (14:20 ET)

29

Profit Target +90%

0

Stop Loss −80%

1

Total Trades

30

📊 Win / Loss Analysis

Win Rate Breakdown

Winners (18)60.0%
60.0%
Losers (12)40.0%
40.0%

P&L Breakdown

Average winner+$1,351
Average loser$-3,152
Best trade+$4,123 (2026-06-23)
Worst trade$-20,433 (2026-07-09)
Total gross wins+$24,311
Total gross losses$-37,828

⚠️ Risk Assessment

Max Drawdown

$25,305

Worst Single Loss

$-20,433

Avg Max Loss / Trade

$24,831

Profit Factor

0.64

Sharpe (Annualised)

-1.68

Payoff Ratio

0.43x

💡 Key Insights

❌

Net Loss Period

Total P&L of $-13,517 over 30 trades. Elevated QQQ realized volatility caused frequent wing breaches during this period.

⚠️

Auto-Exit Applied at Exit Bar Only

The live script monitors positions every 5 minutes and can exit intraday. This backtest applies +90%/−80% thresholds at the 14:20 ET bar close only, understating how often stops would trigger intraday. Real performance may differ.

⚠️

META Wing Width Consideration

With META trading near $600–700, a ±$55 wing is approximately 8% of price. In high-volatility periods META can move more than $55 intraday, especially around earnings. Consider widening wings (±$65–$80) or reducing QTY for live trading.

📋 Full Trade Log is not displayed on mobile devices to prevent page freezing. View this report on a desktop browser to see all 30 trades.

📋 Full Trade Log (30 trades)

DateDayExpiryMETA OpenATM LP/SP/SC/LCCredit OpenCr/WingStraddle%Credit Close P&LCum P&LExit
2026-01-23 Friday 2026-01-30 $650.31 650 595/650/650/705 $34.6500 0.630 6.758% $30.9100 +$2,618 +$2,618 SCHED
2026-02-05 Thursday 2026-02-06 $669.73 670 615/670/670/725 $16.0500 0.292 2.471% $13.3300 +$1,904 +$4,522 SCHED
2026-02-19 Thursday 2026-02-20 $639.84 640 585/640/640/695 $13.3500 0.243 2.126% $11.0900 +$1,582 +$6,104 SCHED
2026-02-24 Tuesday 2026-02-27 $634.52 635 580/635/635/690 $18.5000 0.336 3.034% $17.3100 +$833 +$6,937 SCHED
2026-02-25 Wednesday 2026-02-27 $645.36 645 590/645/645/700 $14.4200 0.262 2.286% $13.8000 +$434 +$7,371 SCHED
2026-03-02 Monday 2026-03-06 $644.58 645 590/645/645/700 $19.8600 0.361 3.275% $21.7600 $-1,330 +$6,041 SCHED
2026-03-04 Wednesday 2026-03-06 $660.29 660 605/660/660/715 $16.8200 0.306 2.614% $17.5600 $-518 +$5,523 SCHED
2026-03-06 Friday 2026-03-13 $640.02 640 585/640/640/695 $26.8700 0.488 4.572% $25.2300 +$1,148 +$6,671 SCHED
2026-03-11 Wednesday 2026-03-13 $655.34 655 600/655/655/710 $14.4900 0.264 2.252% $12.3000 +$1,533 +$8,204 SCHED
2026-03-12 Thursday 2026-03-13 $649.66 650 595/650/650/705 $11.6000 0.211 1.812% $13.9100 $-1,617 +$6,587 SCHED
2026-03-13 Friday 2026-03-20 $620.24 620 565/620/620/675 $24.4300 0.444 4.264% $24.0400 +$273 +$6,860 SCHED
2026-03-16 Monday 2026-03-20 $629.99 630 575/630/630/685 $20.6300 0.375 3.465% $18.6300 +$1,400 +$8,260 SCHED
2026-03-18 Wednesday 2026-03-20 $619.77 620 565/620/620/675 $14.5200 0.264 2.380% $13.2400 +$896 +$9,156 SCHED
2026-04-07 Tuesday 2026-04-10 $570.28 570 515/570/570/625 $17.9600 0.327 3.274% $18.2900 $-231 +$8,925 SCHED
2026-04-17 Friday 2026-04-24 $680.22 680 625/680/680/735 $22.1200 0.402 3.469% $21.1700 +$665 +$9,590 SCHED
2026-04-20 Monday 2026-04-24 $674.54 675 620/675/675/730 $20.8200 0.379 3.269% $19.1700 +$1,155 +$10,745 SCHED
2026-04-23 Thursday 2026-04-24 $664.69 665 610/665/665/720 $12.9300 0.235 1.971% $11.5100 +$994 +$11,739 SCHED
2026-04-24 Friday 2026-05-01 $660.35 660 605/660/660/715 $35.8300 0.651 7.466% $37.3100 $-1,036 +$10,703 SCHED
2026-05-06 Wednesday 2026-05-08 $600.26 600 545/600/600/655 $13.9600 0.254 2.357% $16.6000 $-1,848 +$8,855 SCHED
2026-05-08 Friday 2026-05-15 $615.20 615 560/615/615/670 $20.4300 0.371 3.495% $18.4300 +$1,400 +$10,255 SCHED
2026-05-21 Thursday 2026-05-22 $599.92 600 545/600/600/655 $10.4200 0.190 1.767% $10.8600 $-308 +$9,947 SCHED
2026-06-01 Monday 2026-06-05 $619.68 620 565/620/620/675 $19.0800 0.347 3.357% $29.3800 $-7,210 +$2,737 SCHED
2026-06-03 Wednesday 2026-06-05 $609.90 610 555/610/610/665 $17.3600 0.316 3.017% $17.7300 $-259 +$2,478 SCHED
2026-06-08 Monday 2026-06-12 $584.60 585 530/585/585/640 $22.1900 0.404 4.123% $18.6600 +$2,471 +$4,949 SCHED
2026-06-23 Tuesday 2026-06-26 $569.65 570 515/570/570/625 $23.0800 0.420 4.190% $17.1900 +$4,123 +$9,072 SCHED
2026-06-30 Tuesday 2026-07-10 $555.28 555 500/555/555/610 $24.5800 0.447 4.817% $23.3900 +$833 +$9,905 SCHED
2026-07-02 Thursday 2026-07-10 $599.85 600 545/600/600/655 $23.5700 0.428 4.314% $26.0400 $-1,729 +$8,176 SCHED
2026-07-06 Monday 2026-07-10 $585.47 585 530/585/585/640 $21.0300 0.382 3.782% $22.9000 $-1,309 +$6,867 SCHED
2026-07-09 Thursday 2026-07-10 $585.36 585 530/585/585/640 $14.1500 0.257 2.451% $43.3400 $-20,433 $-13,566 ✗ SL80
2026-07-22 Wednesday 2026-07-24 $635.30 635 580/635/635/690 $20.1300 0.366 3.313% $20.0600 +$49 $-13,517 SCHED