UVXY Daily Iron Butterfly Backtest | AI Velocity

Daily Iron Butterfly UVXY

Total P&L
+$13,820
Jan 1 → 2026-09-15
Win Rate
63.5%
54 wins / 31 losses
Total Trades
85
Mon–Fri daily entries
Potential Trading Days
176
Days a trade could occur
Avg P&L / Day
+$79
Across 176 trading days
Avg Annual Profit
+$19,788
Avg daily P&L × 252
Capital Required
$2,035
Avg max loss / trade
Avg Annual Return
972.2%
Annual profit / avg capital
Profit Factor
1.68
Gross wins / gross losses
Sharpe Ratio
2.79
Daily × √252 annualised
Max Drawdown
$4,220
Peak-to-trough equity
Payoff Ratio
0.97x
Avg win / avg loss

📈 Equity Curve

⚙️ Strategy Configuration

Ticker
UVXY
Contracts
20
Structure
Iron Butterfly
Wing Width
±$3
Entry Days
Mon–Fri
Entry Time
9:40 ET
Exit Time
14:20 ET
Expiry
Next Friday
Profit Target
+90%
Stop Loss
-80%

Trade Filters

FilterStatus
Credit ratio ≥ 0.45 (1.35/wing)✔ Active
Net credit ≥ $0.50✔ Active
Straddle ≥ 3.0% of UVXY✔ Active
Straddle ≤ 15.0% of UVXY✔ Active
Overnight gap ≤ 7.0% of prior close✔ Active
Avg credit ratio (traded days)0.662 (1.98/3)
Avg straddle % of UVXY (traded days)8.370%

Strike Construction

LegStrikeActionRole
Long PutATM − $3BuyOuter put wing — defines max loss on downside
Short PutATMSellATM short — max profit zone (butterfly body)
Short CallATMSellATM short — max profit zone (butterfly body)
Long CallATM + $3BuyOuter call wing — defines max loss on upside

P&L Mechanics

Net credit at open (9:40 ET)Max profit = credit × 100 × 20 (at expiry if UVXY = ATM)
UVXY moves > $3 from ATMMax loss = ($3 − credit) × 100 × 20
Avg net credit collected$1.9849 per share
Auto-exit profit targetClose if P&L ≥ +90% of max profit
Auto-exit stop lossClose if P&L ≤ −80% of max profit

🚦 Exit Breakdown

Scheduled (14:20 ET)

84

Profit Target +90%

0

Stop Loss −80%

1

Total Trades

85

📊 Win / Loss Analysis

Win Rate Breakdown

Winners (54)63.5%
63.5%
Losers (31)36.5%
36.5%

P&L Breakdown

Average winner+$631
Average loser$-653
Best trade+$4,060 (2026-03-10)
Worst trade$-3,060 (2026-02-12)
Total gross wins+$34,060
Total gross losses$-20,240

⚠️ Risk Assessment

Max Drawdown

$4,220

Worst Single Loss

$-3,060

Avg Max Loss / Trade

$2,035

Profit Factor

1.68

Sharpe (Annualised)

2.79

Payoff Ratio

0.97x

💡 Key Insights

✅

Profitable Strategy

Total P&L of +$13,820 over 85 trades across Jan–2026-09-15. The iron butterfly's ATM structure collects rich short-term premium on UVXY, a volatility-linked ETP with structurally elevated implied vol.

⚠️

Auto-Exit Applied at Exit Bar Only

The live script (if deployed) would monitor positions every 5 minutes and can exit intraday. This backtest applies +90%/−80% thresholds at the 14:20 ET bar close only, understating how often stops would trigger intraday. Real performance may differ.

⚠️

UVXY Volatility Consideration

UVXY is a leveraged, volatility-linked ETP that can move 5–15%+ intraday during VIX spikes, and its implied vol runs far higher than SPY's. A ±$3 wing on a ~$20–30 underlying leaves comparatively little room before max loss on a large VIX move. Consider widening wings or reducing QTY further for live trading, and treat this as a higher-risk, higher-premium variant of the SPY strategy.

📋 Full Trade Log is not displayed on mobile devices to prevent page freezing. View this report on a desktop browser to see all 85 trades.

📋 Full Trade Log (85 trades)

DateDayExpiryUVXY OpenATM LP/SP/SC/LCCredit OpenCr/WingStraddle%Credit Close P&LCum P&LExit
2026-01-02 Friday 2026-01-09 $35.35 35.5 32.5/35.5/35.5/38.5 $1.9600 0.653 7.242% $2.0100 $-100 $-100 SCHED
2026-01-07 Wednesday 2026-01-09 $35.01 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $1.5100 0.503 5.114% $1.3300 +$360 +$260 SCHED
2026-01-09 Friday 2026-01-16 $35.11 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $2.1500 0.717 8.858% $2.0500 +$200 +$460 SCHED
2026-01-12 Monday 2026-01-16 $34.84 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $1.7700 0.590 7.348% $1.8500 $-160 +$300 SCHED
2026-01-14 Wednesday 2026-01-16 $37.21 37.0 34.0/37.0/37.0/40.0 $1.3500 0.450 6.262% $2.0800 $-1,460 $-1,160 SCHED
2026-01-16 Friday 2026-01-23 $35.08 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $1.9400 0.647 8.324% $1.7200 +$440 $-720 SCHED
2026-01-21 Wednesday 2026-01-23 $39.01 39.0 36.0/39.0/39.0/42.0 $2.9200 0.973 10.536% $2.6300 +$580 $-140 SCHED
2026-01-22 Thursday 2026-01-23 $34.95 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $1.4100 0.470 4.636% $1.3000 +$220 +$80 SCHED
2026-01-23 Friday 2026-01-30 $35.04 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $2.2400 0.747 10.474% $2.0500 +$380 +$460 SCHED
2026-01-26 Monday 2026-01-30 $35.02 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $2.0500 0.683 9.338% $2.0600 $-20 +$440 SCHED
2026-01-27 Tuesday 2026-01-30 $35.35 35.5 32.5/35.5/35.5/38.5 $2.0200 0.673 7.779% $1.7500 +$540 +$980 SCHED
2026-01-28 Wednesday 2026-01-30 $36.43 36.5 33.5/36.5/36.5/39.5 $1.7200 0.573 6.451% $1.5100 +$420 +$1,400 SCHED
2026-01-29 Thursday 2026-01-30 $37.91 38.0 35.0/38.0/38.0/41.0 $2.2500 0.750 7.280% $2.0000 +$500 +$1,900 SCHED
2026-01-30 Friday 2026-02-06 $37.22 37.0 34.0/37.0/37.0/40.0 $3.2200 1.073 14.643% $2.0600 +$2,320 +$4,220 SCHED
2026-02-03 Tuesday 2026-02-06 $34.86 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $1.6600 0.553 6.311% $1.8000 $-280 +$3,940 SCHED
2026-02-04 Wednesday 2026-02-06 $36.59 36.5 33.5/36.5/36.5/39.5 $1.8000 0.600 7.789% $2.7100 $-1,820 +$2,120 SCHED
2026-02-05 Thursday 2026-02-06 $39.54 39.5 36.5/39.5/39.5/42.5 $2.4500 0.817 9.054% $1.8500 +$1,200 +$3,320 SCHED
2026-02-06 Friday 2026-02-13 $38.20 38.0 35.0/38.0/38.0/41.0 $2.1300 0.710 13.874% $2.1100 +$40 +$3,360 SCHED
2026-02-09 Monday 2026-02-13 $36.45 36.5 33.5/36.5/36.5/39.5 $2.1000 0.700 8.313% $2.0500 +$100 +$3,460 SCHED
2026-02-10 Tuesday 2026-02-13 $35.78 36.0 33.0/36.0/36.0/39.0 $1.8200 0.607 6.903% $1.7100 +$220 +$3,680 SCHED
2026-02-11 Wednesday 2026-02-13 $35.38 35.5 32.5/35.5/35.5/38.5 $2.1500 0.717 6.445% $1.3900 +$1,520 +$5,200 SCHED
2026-02-12 Thursday 2026-02-13 $35.51 35.5 32.5/35.5/35.5/38.5 $1.5800 0.527 5.069% $3.1100 $-3,060 +$2,140 ✗ SL80
2026-02-13 Friday 2026-02-20 $40.48 40.5 37.5/40.5/40.5/43.5 $1.8300 0.610 12.648% $2.4100 $-1,160 +$980 SCHED
2026-02-17 Tuesday 2026-02-20 $40.12 40.0 37.0/40.0/40.0/43.0 $2.3600 0.787 11.167% $2.0000 +$720 +$1,700 SCHED
2026-02-18 Wednesday 2026-02-20 $38.41 38.5 35.5/38.5/38.5/41.5 $2.1500 0.717 7.941% $1.9600 +$380 +$2,080 SCHED
2026-02-19 Thursday 2026-02-20 $40.02 40.0 37.0/40.0/40.0/43.0 $2.4000 0.800 8.245% $1.6100 +$1,580 +$3,660 SCHED
2026-02-20 Friday 2026-02-27 $41.29 41.5 38.5/41.5/41.5/44.5 $2.8400 0.947 14.846% $2.4600 +$760 +$4,420 SCHED
2026-02-23 Monday 2026-02-27 $38.82 39.0 36.0/39.0/39.0/42.0 $1.8200 0.607 9.067% $2.0500 $-460 +$3,960 SCHED
2026-02-24 Tuesday 2026-02-27 $40.71 40.5 37.5/40.5/40.5/43.5 $2.3400 0.780 8.475% $2.2400 +$200 +$4,160 SCHED
2026-02-25 Wednesday 2026-02-27 $37.78 38.0 35.0/38.0/38.0/41.0 $1.6700 0.557 5.876% $1.9800 $-620 +$3,540 SCHED
2026-02-27 Friday 2026-03-06 $40.03 40.0 37.0/40.0/40.0/43.0 $2.2500 0.750 13.290% $2.7700 $-1,040 +$2,500 SCHED
2026-03-02 Monday 2026-03-06 $42.10 42.0 39.0/42.0/42.0/45.0 $2.8800 0.960 14.299% $2.4300 +$900 +$3,400 SCHED
2026-03-04 Wednesday 2026-03-06 $42.76 43.0 40.0/43.0/43.0/46.0 $2.6700 0.890 10.220% $2.9200 $-500 +$2,900 SCHED
2026-03-05 Thursday 2026-03-06 $42.27 42.5 39.5/42.5/42.5/45.5 $2.4500 0.817 8.185% $1.8700 +$1,160 +$4,060 SCHED
2026-03-10 Tuesday 2026-03-13 $46.19 46.0 43.0/46.0/46.0/49.0 $2.4800 0.827 10.911% $0.4500 +$4,060 +$8,120 SCHED
2026-03-11 Wednesday 2026-03-13 $47.90 48.0 45.0/48.0/48.0/51.0 $2.5900 0.863 11.816% $2.5200 +$140 +$8,260 SCHED
2026-03-12 Thursday 2026-03-13 $49.20 49.0 46.0/49.0/49.0/52.0 $2.5100 0.837 8.638% $2.2600 +$500 +$8,760 SCHED
2026-03-17 Tuesday 2026-03-20 $44.74 44.5 41.5/44.5/44.5/47.5 $1.9100 0.637 8.941% $1.9000 +$20 +$8,780 SCHED
2026-03-18 Wednesday 2026-03-20 $47.16 47.0 44.0/47.0/47.0/50.0 $2.3800 0.793 8.947% $2.5900 $-420 +$8,360 SCHED
2026-03-24 Tuesday 2026-03-27 $52.22 52.0 49.0/52.0/52.0/55.0 $2.8500 0.950 11.682% $2.1100 +$1,480 +$9,840 SCHED
2026-03-25 Wednesday 2026-03-27 $49.13 49.0 46.0/49.0/49.0/52.0 $2.3200 0.773 9.119% $2.2900 +$60 +$9,900 SCHED
2026-04-07 Tuesday 2026-04-10 $51.00 51.0 48.0/51.0/51.0/54.0 $2.6300 0.877 11.961% $2.6800 $-100 +$9,800 SCHED
2026-04-09 Thursday 2026-04-10 $43.90 44.0 41.0/44.0/44.0/47.0 $1.9000 0.633 5.764% $2.5600 $-1,320 +$8,480 SCHED
2026-04-10 Friday 2026-04-17 $40.90 41.0 38.0/41.0/41.0/44.0 $1.7700 0.590 9.829% $2.3700 $-1,200 +$7,280 SCHED
2026-04-13 Monday 2026-04-17 $42.45 42.5 39.5/42.5/42.5/45.5 $1.9500 0.650 9.706% $1.8600 +$180 +$7,460 SCHED
2026-04-14 Tuesday 2026-04-17 $38.23 38.0 35.0/38.0/38.0/41.0 $1.8400 0.613 6.409% $1.8700 $-60 +$7,400 SCHED
2026-04-15 Wednesday 2026-04-17 $38.08 38.0 35.0/38.0/38.0/41.0 $1.4500 0.483 5.200% $1.4000 +$100 +$7,500 SCHED
2026-04-16 Thursday 2026-04-17 $38.80 39.0 36.0/39.0/39.0/42.0 $1.6600 0.553 5.231% $1.4700 +$380 +$7,880 SCHED
2026-04-17 Friday 2026-04-24 $37.58 37.5 34.5/37.5/37.5/40.5 $1.8400 0.613 8.595% $1.8600 $-40 +$7,840 SCHED
2026-04-20 Monday 2026-04-24 $38.94 39.0 36.0/39.0/39.0/42.0 $2.1400 0.713 8.475% $2.2000 $-120 +$7,720 SCHED
2026-04-21 Tuesday 2026-04-24 $38.97 39.0 36.0/39.0/39.0/42.0 $1.8700 0.623 6.569% $1.9400 $-140 +$7,580 SCHED
2026-04-22 Wednesday 2026-04-24 $38.45 38.5 35.5/38.5/38.5/41.5 $2.0900 0.697 6.866% $1.4700 +$1,240 +$8,820 SCHED
2026-04-24 Friday 2026-05-01 $38.92 39.0 36.0/39.0/39.0/42.0 $2.2400 0.747 10.612% $1.9000 +$680 +$9,500 SCHED
2026-04-27 Monday 2026-05-01 $39.08 39.0 36.0/39.0/39.0/42.0 $2.1700 0.723 8.444% $2.1500 +$40 +$9,540 SCHED
2026-04-28 Tuesday 2026-05-01 $38.88 39.0 36.0/39.0/39.0/42.0 $1.9500 0.650 6.636% $2.3600 $-820 +$8,720 SCHED
2026-04-29 Wednesday 2026-05-01 $36.96 37.0 34.0/37.0/37.0/40.0 $2.0800 0.693 6.115% $1.6500 +$860 +$9,580 SCHED
2026-05-01 Friday 2026-05-08 $35.91 36.0 33.0/36.0/36.0/39.0 $2.1100 0.703 7.880% $1.6200 +$980 +$10,560 SCHED
2026-05-04 Monday 2026-05-08 $36.83 37.0 34.0/37.0/37.0/40.0 $2.1300 0.710 8.064% $1.5900 +$1,080 +$11,640 SCHED
2026-05-08 Friday 2026-05-15 $35.45 35.5 32.5/35.5/35.5/38.5 $1.6900 0.563 7.221% $1.3200 +$740 +$12,380 SCHED
2026-05-11 Monday 2026-05-15 $36.27 36.5 33.5/36.5/36.5/39.5 $1.8000 0.600 6.782% $1.7200 +$160 +$12,540 SCHED
2026-05-12 Tuesday 2026-05-15 $37.32 37.5 34.5/37.5/37.5/40.5 $1.8600 0.620 6.484% $1.8500 +$20 +$12,560 SCHED
2026-05-15 Friday 2026-05-22 $36.88 37.0 34.0/37.0/37.0/40.0 $2.1000 0.700 8.812% $2.0000 +$200 +$12,760 SCHED
2026-05-18 Monday 2026-05-22 $35.42 35.5 32.5/35.5/35.5/38.5 $1.5400 0.513 5.844% $2.3300 $-1,580 +$11,180 SCHED
2026-05-19 Tuesday 2026-05-22 $35.03 35.0 32.0/35.0/35.0/38.0 $1.5600 0.520 5.852% $1.3500 +$420 +$11,600 SCHED
2026-05-22 Friday 2026-05-29 $33.20 33.0 30.0/33.0/33.0/36.0 $1.8400 0.613 7.590% $1.7300 +$220 +$11,820 SCHED
2026-05-29 Friday 2026-06-05 $29.14 29.0 26.0/29.0/29.0/32.0 $1.9000 0.633 8.442% $1.7700 +$260 +$12,080 SCHED
2026-06-01 Monday 2026-06-05 $28.90 29.0 26.0/29.0/29.0/32.0 $1.5300 0.510 6.747% $1.0100 +$1,040 +$13,120 SCHED
2026-06-02 Tuesday 2026-06-05 $29.35 29.5 26.5/29.5/29.5/32.5 $1.3500 0.450 5.758% $1.1900 +$320 +$13,440 SCHED
2026-06-05 Friday 2026-06-12 $28.37 28.5 25.5/28.5/28.5/31.5 $1.7800 0.593 7.966% $2.1800 $-800 +$12,640 SCHED
2026-06-08 Monday 2026-06-12 $29.63 29.5 26.5/29.5/29.5/32.5 $2.2700 0.757 9.112% $1.6000 +$1,340 +$13,980 SCHED
2026-06-10 Wednesday 2026-06-12 $31.54 31.5 28.5/31.5/31.5/34.5 $2.1500 0.717 8.687% $1.7800 +$740 +$14,720 SCHED
2026-06-11 Thursday 2026-06-12 $33.23 33.0 30.0/33.0/33.0/36.0 $1.7300 0.577 7.614% $2.3100 $-1,160 +$13,560 SCHED
2026-06-16 Tuesday 2026-06-26 $25.77 26.0 23.0/26.0/26.0/29.0 $1.8900 0.630 9.625% $1.7500 +$280 +$13,840 SCHED
2026-06-18 Thursday 2026-06-26 $26.51 26.5 23.5/26.5/26.5/29.5 $1.6500 0.550 8.450% $1.6800 $-60 +$13,780 SCHED
2026-06-24 Wednesday 2026-06-26 $27.69 27.5 24.5/27.5/27.5/30.5 $1.4000 0.467 5.634% $1.1400 +$520 +$14,300 SCHED
2026-06-29 Monday 2026-07-10 $26.01 26.0 23.0/26.0/26.0/29.0 $1.7000 0.567 9.842% $1.8500 $-300 +$14,000 SCHED
2026-07-01 Wednesday 2026-07-10 $25.30 25.5 22.5/25.5/25.5/28.5 $1.7800 0.593 8.300% $1.6100 +$340 +$14,340 SCHED
2026-07-20 Monday 2026-07-24 $24.09 24.0 21.0/24.0/24.0/27.0 $1.4200 0.473 6.808% $1.4400 $-40 +$14,300 SCHED
2026-07-21 Tuesday 2026-07-24 $24.14 24.0 21.0/24.0/24.0/27.0 $1.4300 0.477 7.167% $1.5400 $-220 +$14,080 SCHED
2026-07-24 Friday 2026-07-31 $25.26 25.5 22.5/25.5/25.5/28.5 $1.9500 0.650 9.699% $1.6800 +$540 +$14,620 SCHED
2026-07-27 Monday 2026-07-31 $24.19 24.0 21.0/24.0/24.0/27.0 $1.4400 0.480 7.524% $1.4700 $-60 +$14,560 SCHED
2026-07-28 Tuesday 2026-07-31 $25.10 25.0 22.0/25.0/25.0/28.0 $1.5200 0.507 7.211% $1.5400 $-40 +$14,520 SCHED
2026-07-29 Wednesday 2026-07-31 $25.23 25.0 22.0/25.0/25.0/28.0 $1.5100 0.503 7.253% $2.0500 $-1,080 +$13,440 SCHED
2026-07-31 Friday 2026-08-07 $24.11 24.0 21.0/24.0/24.0/27.0 $1.8200 0.607 9.332% $1.7100 +$220 +$13,660 SCHED
2026-08-03 Monday 2026-08-07 $22.87 23.0 20.0/23.0/23.0/26.0 $1.3900 0.463 6.996% $1.3100 +$160 +$13,820 SCHED