UVXY Daily Iron Condor Backtest | AI Velocity

Daily Iron Condor UVXY

Total P&L
$-1,440
Jan 1 → 2026-09-15
Win Rate
50.0%
23 wins / 22 losses
Total Trades
46
Mon–Thu daily entries
Potential Trading Days
176
Days a trade could occur
Avg P&L / Day
$-8
Across 176 trading days
Avg Annual Profit
$-2,062
Avg daily P&L × 252
Capital Required
$2,342
Avg max loss / trade
Avg Annual Return
-88.0%
Annual profit / avg capital
Profit Factor
0.86
Gross wins / gross losses
Sharpe Ratio
-0.88
Daily × √252 annualised
Max Drawdown
$4,420
Peak-to-trough equity
Payoff Ratio
0.82x
Avg win / avg loss

📈 Equity Curve

⚙️ Strategy Configuration

Ticker
UVXY
Contracts
20
Structure
Iron Condor
Short Spread
±$3
Wing Width
$1.50
Entry Days
Mon–Thu
Entry Time
9:40 ET
Exit Time
14:20 ET
Expiry
Next Friday
Profit Target
+90%
Stop Loss
-80%

Trade Filters

FilterStatus
Short strangle ≥ 0.1% of UVXY✔ Active
Avg credit ratio (traded days)0.221 (0.33/wing)
Avg short strangle % of UVXY (traded days)2.378%

Strike Construction

LegStrikeActionRole
Long PutATM − $4.50BuyOuter put wing — defines max loss on downside
Short PutATM − $3SellShort put — lower body of condor
Short CallATM + $3SellShort call — upper body of condor
Long CallATM + $4.50BuyOuter call wing — defines max loss on upside

P&L Mechanics

Net credit at open (9:40 ET)Max profit = credit × 100 × 20 (if UVXY stays between ±$3 of ATM)
UVXY moves > $4.50 from ATMMax loss = ($1.50 − credit) × 100 × 20
Avg net credit collected$0.3313 per share
Auto-exit profit targetClose if P&L ≥ +90% of max profit
Auto-exit stop lossClose if P&L ≤ −80% of max profit

🚦 Exit Breakdown

Scheduled (14:20 ET)

32

Profit Target +90%

2

Stop Loss −80%

12

Total Trades

46

📊 Win / Loss Analysis

Win Rate Breakdown

Winners (23)50.0%
50.0%
Losers (22)50.0%
50.0%

P&L Breakdown

Average winner+$377
Average loser$-459
Best trade+$1,800 (2026-04-08)
Worst trade$-1,700 (2026-03-03)
Total gross wins+$8,660
Total gross losses$-10,100

⚠️ Risk Assessment

Max Drawdown

$4,420

Worst Single Loss

$-1,700

Avg Max Loss / Trade

$2,342

Profit Factor

0.86

Sharpe (Annualised)

-0.88

Payoff Ratio

0.82x

💡 Key Insights

❌

Net Loss Period

Total P&L of $-1,440 over 46 trades. Elevated UVXY realized volatility caused frequent wing breaches during this period. Consider widening SHORT_SPREAD or reducing QTY.

⚠️

Auto-Exit Applied at Exit Bar Only

The live script monitors positions every 5 minutes and can exit intraday. This backtest applies +90%/−80% thresholds at the 14:20 ET bar close only, understating how often stops would trigger intraday. Real performance may differ.

⚠️

UVXY Wing Width Consideration

With UVXY, a ±$1.50 wing on a $3 short spread is a moderate structure. Monitor earnings dates and macro events. Consider widening WING_WIDTH (±$2–$3) or reducing QTY for live trading.

📋 Full Trade Log is not displayed on mobile devices to prevent page freezing. View this report on a desktop browser to see all 46 trades.

📋 Full Trade Log (46 trades)

DateDayExpiryUVXY OpenATM LP/SP/SC/LCCredit OpenCr/WingStrangle%Credit Close P&LCum P&LExit
2026-01-14 Wednesday 2026-01-16 $37.21 37.0 32.5/34.0/40.0/41.5 $0.3500 0.233 2.634% $0.3200 +$60 +$60 SCHED
2026-01-20 Tuesday 2026-01-23 $38.60 38.5 34.0/35.5/41.5/43.0 $0.5100 0.340 4.016% $0.5900 $-160 $-100 SCHED
2026-01-21 Wednesday 2026-01-23 $39.01 39.0 34.5/36.0/42.0/43.5 $0.6800 0.453 3.050% $0.5800 +$200 +$100 SCHED
2026-01-26 Monday 2026-01-30 $35.02 35.0 30.5/32.0/38.0/39.5 $0.1000 0.067 3.484% $0.2500 $-300 $-200 ✗ SL80
2026-01-27 Tuesday 2026-01-30 $35.35 35.5 31.0/32.5/38.5/40.0 $0.3000 0.200 2.065% $0.2100 +$180 $-20 SCHED
2026-01-28 Wednesday 2026-01-30 $36.43 36.5 32.0/33.5/39.5/41.0 $0.2300 0.153 1.729% $0.1900 +$80 +$60 SCHED
2026-01-29 Thursday 2026-01-30 $37.91 38.0 33.5/35.0/41.0/42.5 $0.3000 0.200 1.345% $0.2600 +$80 +$140 SCHED
2026-02-02 Monday 2026-02-06 $35.83 36.0 31.5/33.0/39.0/40.5 $0.8100 0.540 5.303% $0.4300 +$760 +$900 SCHED
2026-02-04 Wednesday 2026-02-06 $36.59 36.5 32.0/33.5/39.5/41.0 $0.6200 0.413 2.870% $0.3300 +$580 +$1,480 SCHED
2026-02-05 Thursday 2026-02-06 $39.54 39.5 35.0/36.5/42.5/44.0 $0.3800 0.253 2.858% $0.6800 $-600 +$880 SCHED
2026-02-09 Monday 2026-02-13 $36.45 36.5 32.0/33.5/39.5/41.0 $0.2000 0.133 2.551% $0.4400 $-480 +$400 ✗ SL80
2026-02-10 Tuesday 2026-02-13 $35.78 36.0 31.5/33.0/39.0/40.5 $0.2500 0.167 1.817% $0.3800 $-260 +$140 SCHED
2026-02-12 Thursday 2026-02-13 $35.51 35.5 31.0/32.5/38.5/40.0 $0.0100 0.007 0.620% $0.4000 $-780 $-640 ✗ SL80
2026-02-18 Wednesday 2026-02-20 $38.41 38.5 34.0/35.5/41.5/43.0 $0.3300 0.220 2.343% $0.1900 +$280 $-360 SCHED
2026-02-23 Monday 2026-02-27 $38.82 39.0 34.5/36.0/42.0/43.5 $0.7300 0.487 4.379% $0.7400 $-20 $-380 SCHED
2026-02-24 Tuesday 2026-02-27 $40.71 40.5 36.0/37.5/43.5/45.0 $0.0600 0.040 2.727% $0.5600 $-1,000 $-1,380 ✗ SL80
2026-02-25 Wednesday 2026-02-27 $37.78 38.0 33.5/35.0/41.0/42.5 $0.2600 0.173 1.456% $0.1000 +$320 $-1,060 SCHED
2026-03-03 Tuesday 2026-03-06 $44.93 45.0 40.5/42.0/48.0/49.5 $0.3700 0.247 6.521% $1.2200 $-1,700 $-2,760 ✗ SL80
2026-03-04 Wednesday 2026-03-06 $42.76 43.0 38.5/40.0/46.0/47.5 $0.7100 0.473 3.976% $0.6100 +$200 $-2,560 SCHED
2026-03-05 Thursday 2026-03-06 $42.27 42.5 38.0/39.5/45.5/47.0 $0.4400 0.293 2.389% $0.6300 $-380 $-2,940 SCHED
2026-03-17 Tuesday 2026-03-20 $44.74 44.5 40.0/41.5/47.5/49.0 $0.8900 0.593 4.671% $0.5400 +$700 $-2,240 SCHED
2026-04-08 Wednesday 2026-04-10 $42.93 43.0 38.5/40.0/46.0/47.5 $1.6100 1.073 5.334% $0.7100 +$1,800 $-440 SCHED
2026-04-09 Thursday 2026-04-10 $43.90 44.0 39.5/41.0/47.0/48.5 $0.1900 0.127 1.435% $0.6600 $-940 $-1,380 ✗ SL80
2026-04-13 Monday 2026-04-17 $42.45 42.5 38.0/39.5/45.5/47.0 $0.5300 0.353 5.112% $0.8500 $-640 $-2,020 SCHED
2026-04-20 Monday 2026-04-24 $38.94 39.0 34.5/36.0/42.0/43.5 $0.3900 0.260 2.979% $0.2500 +$280 $-1,740 SCHED
2026-04-22 Wednesday 2026-04-24 $38.45 38.5 34.0/35.5/41.5/43.0 $0.1800 0.120 1.430% $0.0700 +$220 $-1,520 SCHED
2026-04-23 Thursday 2026-04-24 $39.60 39.5 35.0/36.5/42.5/44.0 $0.1200 0.080 0.682% $0.1200 +$-0 $-1,520 SCHED
2026-04-27 Monday 2026-05-01 $39.08 39.0 34.5/36.0/42.0/43.5 $0.4400 0.293 2.892% $0.4000 +$80 $-1,440 SCHED
2026-04-28 Tuesday 2026-05-01 $38.88 39.0 34.5/36.0/42.0/43.5 $0.1200 0.080 1.620% $0.3300 $-420 $-1,860 ✗ SL80
2026-05-04 Monday 2026-05-08 $36.83 37.0 32.5/34.0/40.0/41.5 $0.4300 0.287 2.281% $0.1400 +$580 $-1,280 SCHED
2026-05-05 Tuesday 2026-05-08 $36.36 36.5 32.0/33.5/39.5/41.0 $0.1600 0.107 1.238% $0.2500 $-180 $-1,460 SCHED
2026-05-11 Monday 2026-05-15 $36.27 36.5 32.0/33.5/39.5/41.0 $0.1600 0.107 1.820% $0.2400 $-160 $-1,620 SCHED
2026-05-12 Tuesday 2026-05-15 $37.32 37.5 33.0/34.5/40.5/42.0 $0.0500 0.033 1.501% $0.2100 $-320 $-1,940 ✗ SL80
2026-05-14 Thursday 2026-05-15 $36.56 36.5 32.0/33.5/39.5/41.0 $0.2300 0.153 0.793% $-0.0300 +$520 $-1,420 ✓ PT90
2026-05-18 Monday 2026-05-22 $35.42 35.5 31.0/32.5/38.5/40.0 $0.1800 0.120 1.496% $0.1900 $-20 $-1,440 SCHED
2026-05-21 Thursday 2026-05-22 $34.67 34.5 30.0/31.5/37.5/39.0 $0.0400 0.027 0.433% $-0.0200 +$120 $-1,320 ✓ PT90
2026-06-08 Monday 2026-06-12 $29.63 29.5 25.0/26.5/32.5/34.0 $0.0200 0.013 1.451% $0.2600 $-480 $-1,800 ✗ SL80
2026-06-10 Wednesday 2026-06-12 $31.54 31.5 27.0/28.5/34.5/36.0 $0.2300 0.153 1.871% $0.5400 $-620 $-2,420 ✗ SL80
2026-06-11 Thursday 2026-06-12 $33.23 33.0 28.5/30.0/36.0/37.5 $0.4000 0.267 2.407% $0.1900 +$420 $-2,000 SCHED
2026-06-18 Thursday 2026-06-26 $26.51 26.5 22.0/23.5/29.5/31.0 $0.2800 0.187 2.226% $0.1800 +$200 $-1,800 SCHED
2026-06-23 Tuesday 2026-06-26 $27.88 28.0 23.5/25.0/31.0/32.5 $0.4600 0.307 2.331% $0.0700 +$780 $-1,020 SCHED
2026-07-01 Wednesday 2026-07-10 $25.30 25.5 21.0/22.5/28.5/30.0 $0.0900 0.060 1.265% $0.1200 $-60 $-1,080 SCHED
2026-07-02 Thursday 2026-07-10 $24.65 24.5 20.0/21.5/27.5/29.0 $0.1600 0.107 1.095% $0.1500 +$20 $-1,060 SCHED
2026-07-08 Wednesday 2026-07-10 $24.70 24.5 20.0/21.5/27.5/29.0 $0.1400 0.093 1.053% $0.0400 +$200 $-860 SCHED
2026-07-23 Thursday 2026-07-24 $25.50 25.5 21.0/22.5/28.5/30.0 $0.0200 0.013 0.549% $0.0400 $-40 $-900 ✗ SL80
2026-07-29 Wednesday 2026-07-31 $25.23 25.0 20.5/22.0/28.0/29.5 $0.0800 0.053 1.268% $0.3500 $-540 $-1,440 ✗ SL80