Weekly Iron Condor SPY (1084) Backtest | AI Velocity

Weekly Iron Condor SPY (1084) Backtest

Total P&L
+$1,019
Jan 5, 2026 → Sep 11, 2026
Win Rate
81.2%
13 wins / 3 losses
Total Trades
16
Mon (Tue if holiday) entries
Potential Trading Weeks
33
Weeks with price data
Avg P&L / Week
+$31
Across 33 weeks
Avg Annual Profit
+$1,606
Avg week P&L × 52
Capital Required
$743
Avg max loss / trade
Avg Annual Return
216.1%
Annual profit / avg capital
Profit Factor
1.70
Gross wins / gross losses
Sharpe Ratio
1.08
Week × √52 annualised
Max Drawdown
$1,231
Peak-to-trough equity
Payoff Ratio
0.39x
Avg win / avg loss

📈 Equity Curve

⚙️ Strategy Configuration

Ticker
SPY
Contracts
1
Structure
Iron Condor
Short Strikes
ATM ± 1.5%
Wing Width
1.5% of SPY
Entry Days
Mon (Tue if holiday)
Entry Time
9:40 ET
Exit
Thu 15:40 ET
Expiry
Same-week Friday
Profit Target
None
Stop Loss
None

Net-Credit Filter — live floor ≥ $200

Minimum Net CreditEntries / WeeksTotal P&LWin RateAvg / Trade
> $0 (none)33 / 33+$96972.7%+$29
$10031 / 33+$99074.2%+$32
$15022 / 33+$66268.2%+$30
$200 ← live16 / 33+$1,01981.2%+$64
$2509 / 33+$1,15788.9%+$129
$3005 / 33+$29080.0%+$58

Strike Construction

LegStrikeActionRole
Long PutShort put − wingBuyDownside protection — caps max loss
Short PutATM − 1.5%SellLower body of the condor
Short CallATM + 1.5%SellUpper body of the condor
Long CallShort call + wingBuyUpside protection — caps max loss

P&L Mechanics

Net credit at entry (9:40 ET)Maximum profit if SPY finishes inside the short strikes
SPY beyond a long wingMaximum loss = wing width × 100 − credit
Avg net credit collected$288 per contract
ExitEvery position is closed at Thu 15:40 ET by a scheduled job, regardless of P&L

📊 Win / Loss Analysis

Win Rate Breakdown

Winners (13)81.2%
81.2%
Losers (3)18.8%
18.8%

P&L Breakdown

Average winner+$190
Average loser-$482
Best trade+$371 (2026-03-09)
Worst trade-$707 (2026-04-13)
Total gross wins+$2,465
Total gross losses-$1,446

⚠️ Risk Assessment

Max Drawdown

$1,231

Worst Single Loss

-$707

Avg Max Loss / Trade

$743

Profit Factor

1.70

Sharpe (Annualised)

1.08

Payoff Ratio

0.39x

💡 Key Insights

✅

Net Gain Under Live Rules

Total P&L of +$1,019 over 16 trades, 81% winners. Average winner +$190 vs average loser -$482.

⚠️

Small Sample

Only 16 weekly trades in the window. A single bad week moves every statistic on this page; treat the Sharpe and annualised figures as rough.

⚠️

Gross of Costs

No commissions or slippage are modelled. At $4 per round trip (the slippage assumed in the exit-rule sweep) the total would be +$955.

📋 Full Trade Log is not displayed on mobile devices to prevent page freezing. View this report on a desktop browser to see all 16 trades.

📋 Full Trade Log (16 trades)

EntryDayExpirySPY 9:40 LP/SP/SC/LCCredit InCost to Close P&LCum P&LExit
2026-01-20 Tuesday 2026-01-23 $682.48 662/672/692/702 $218 $-1 +$219 +$219 01-23 15:40
2026-02-02 Monday 2026-02-06 $691.95 672/682/702/712 $200 $415 -$215 +$4 02-05 15:40
2026-02-09 Monday 2026-02-13 $691.14 671/681/701/711 $211 $191 +$20 +$24 02-12 15:40
2026-02-17 Tuesday 2026-02-20 $682.48 662/672/692/702 $254 $-0 +$254 +$278 02-20 15:40
2026-02-23 Monday 2026-02-27 $689.56 670/680/700/710 $232 $29 +$203 +$481 02-26 15:40
2026-03-02 Monday 2026-03-06 $681.00 661/671/691/701 $359 $89 +$270 +$751 03-05 15:40
2026-03-09 Monday 2026-03-13 $664.74 645/655/675/685 $516 $145 +$371 +$1,122 03-12 15:40
2026-03-16 Monday 2026-03-20 $669.02 649/659/679/689 $400 $262 +$138 +$1,260 03-19 15:40
2026-03-23 Monday 2026-03-27 $658.28 638/648/668/678 $394 $359 +$35 +$1,295 03-26 15:40
2026-04-06 Monday 2026-04-10 $656.56 637/647/667/677 $381 $905 -$524 +$771 04-09 15:40
2026-04-13 Monday 2026-04-17 $677.25 657/667/687/697 $234 $941 -$707 +$64 04-16 15:40
2026-04-20 Monday 2026-04-24 $708.60 687/698/720/731 $204 $34 +$170 +$234 04-23 15:40
2026-04-27 Monday 2026-05-01 $714.36 692/703/725/736 $254 $26 +$228 +$462 04-30 15:40
2026-05-18 Monday 2026-05-22 $738.72 717/728/750/761 $253 $37 +$216 +$678 05-21 15:40
2026-06-08 Monday 2026-06-12 $741.62 720/731/753/764 $272 $103 +$169 +$847 06-11 15:40
2026-07-27 Monday 2026-07-31 $744.97 723/734/756/767 $227 $55 +$172 +$1,019 07-30 15:40