TSLA Weekly Iron Condor Backtest Since 2024 | AI Velocity

TSLA Weekly Iron Condor Backtest

2024-01-01 → 2026-07-22  ·  qty=40  ·  spread=±10  ·  wing=5

Total P&L
$-9,042
Weeks Traded
26
Win Rate
53.8%
Avg / Week
$-348
Avg P&L / Day
$-14
Avg Annual Profit
$-3,560
Capital Required
$11,458
Avg Annual Return
-31.1%
Sharpe
-0.48
Max Drawdown
$30,808
Payoff Ratio
0.73x
Profit Factor
0.85x
Real OPRA
25
Black-Scholes
1
OpenExpiryS OpenS Close ATMStrikes LP/SP/SC/LC Credit OpenCredit Close P&LCum P&LSrc
2024-01-08 2024-01-12 $236.00 $227.23 235 220/225/245/250 $0.7761 $0.7446 +$126 +$126 BS
2024-01-22 2024-01-26 $212.17 $182.63 210 195/200/220/225 $2.4200 $4.3560 $-7,744 $-7,618 real
2024-02-05 2024-02-09 $184.20 $189.59 185 170/175/195/200 $1.0200 $0.2600 +$3,040 $-4,578 real
2024-02-26 2024-03-01 $192.15 $201.81 190 175/180/200/205 $1.9800 $2.1300 $-600 $-5,178 real
2024-03-04 2024-03-08 $198.69 $178.58 200 185/190/210/215 $1.0800 $1.9440 $-3,456 $-8,634 real
2024-03-25 2024-04-05 $168.74 $175.72 170 155/160/180/185 $2.0100 $1.9500 +$240 $-8,394 real
2024-04-15 2024-04-19 $170.19 $149.89 170 155/160/180/185 $0.9200 $1.6560 $-2,944 $-11,338 real
2024-05-20 2024-05-24 $177.57 $173.79 180 165/170/190/195 $0.9500 $0.4000 +$2,200 $-9,138 real
2024-06-03 2024-06-07 $178.03 $177.99 180 165/170/190/195 $1.0100 $0.0900 +$3,680 $-5,458 real
2024-06-10 2024-06-14 $176.02 $182.40 175 160/165/185/190 $1.4600 $1.4400 +$80 $-5,378 real
2024-06-24 2024-06-28 $184.91 $197.41 185 170/175/195/200 $0.8300 $1.4940 $-2,656 $-8,034 real
2024-09-30 2024-10-04 $259.06 $240.70 260 245/250/270/275 $2.9400 $4.1400 $-4,800 $-12,834 real
2024-10-21 2024-10-25 $218.86 $260.48 220 205/210/230/235 $2.7400 $4.9320 $-8,768 $-21,602 real
2024-11-25 2024-11-29 $360.50 $345.13 360 345/350/370/375 $2.8500 $4.7300 $-7,520 $-29,122 real
2025-06-23 2025-06-27 $327.94 $325.73 330 315/320/340/345 $2.9800 $1.0100 +$7,880 $-21,242 real
2025-08-18 2025-08-22 $329.86 $320.08 330 315/320/340/345 $2.3700 $1.8800 +$1,960 $-19,282 real
2025-08-25 2025-08-29 $338.92 $345.90 340 325/330/350/355 $2.3100 $1.0400 +$5,080 $-14,202 real
2025-12-22 2025-12-26 $489.88 $475.16 490 475/480/500/505 $2.8500 $4.8700 $-8,080 $-22,282 real
2025-12-29 2026-01-02 $469.12 $438.10 470 455/460/480/485 $2.9000 $5.0000 $-8,400 $-30,682 real
2026-01-05 2026-01-09 $447.49 $435.71 445 430/435/455/460 $2.7000 $1.8600 +$3,360 $-27,322 real
2026-01-12 2026-01-16 $441.23 $438.52 440 425/430/450/455 $2.6000 $0.7700 +$7,320 $-20,002 real
2026-02-02 2026-02-06 $421.29 $397.21 420 405/410/430/435 $2.9500 $4.0800 $-4,520 $-24,522 real
2026-02-23 2026-02-27 $407.35 $408.47 405 390/395/415/420 $2.4900 $0.9100 +$6,320 $-18,202 real
2026-03-09 2026-03-13 $389.92 $395.03 390 375/380/400/405 $2.9500 $1.5400 +$5,640 $-12,562 real
2026-06-01 2026-06-05 $427.44 $418.49 425 410/415/435/440 $2.6900 $1.6000 +$4,360 $-8,202 real
2026-07-13 2026-07-17 $404.61 $391.02 405 390/395/415/420 $2.7500 $2.9600 $-840 $-9,042 real

Generated July 23, 2026  ·  Black-Scholes uses 20-day rolling HV from IEX stock bars for pre-OPRA trades.